한국해양대학교

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퍼지구조모델을 이용한 船舶衝突事故 原因의 構造分析

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dc.contributor.author 梁元宰 -
dc.date.accessioned 2017-02-22T07:12:38Z -
dc.date.available 2017-02-22T07:12:38Z -
dc.date.issued 2002 -
dc.date.submitted 56797-10-27 -
dc.identifier.uri http://kmou.dcollection.net/jsp/common/DcLoOrgPer.jsp?sItemId=000002174048 ko_KR
dc.identifier.uri http://repository.kmou.ac.kr/handle/2014.oak/10448 -
dc.description.abstract The prevention of marine accidents has been a major topic in marine society for long time and various safety policies and measures have been developed and applied to prevent those accidents. In spite of these efforts, however significant marine accidents have taken place intermittently. During the course, hardware factors such as technology of ship building have been progressed significantly but software factors such as ship management including ship's crew have not. Ship is being operated under a highly dynamic environment and many factors are related with ship's collision and those factors are interacting. So the analysis on ship's collision causes are very important to prepare measures which will ensure the safety. This study analysed, the cause of marine accidents using the marine accidents data over the past 10 years(1991-2000), which is compiled by Korea Marine Accidents Inquiry Agency. The analysis confirmed that 'ship's collision' is occurred most frequently and the cause is closely related with human factor. The main purpose of this study is to analyse human factor. The structure of human factor is analysed by the questionnaire methodology. Marine experts were surveyed based on major elements that were extracted from the human factor affecting to ship's collision. Then, the structure analysis of ship's collision cause using Fuzzy Structural Modeling is performed. FSM(Fuzzy Structural Modeling) has been widely adopted in modeling a dynamic system which is composed of human factors. The analysis shows that, the most important human factor related to the ship's collision is 'lookout negligence'. The other but less important factors are 'violation of navigation rules', 'inappropriate ship's speed', 'non-display of the navigation lights and shapes', 'non-execution of signals', 'sleepiness', 'inappropriate supervision' and 'inappropriate report and take over for duty officer's watch keeping', respectively. This structure model could be used in understanding and verifying the procedure of real ship's collision. Furthermore it could be used as the model to prevent ship's collision and reduce marine accidents. -
dc.description.tableofcontents 목차 List of Tables = iv List of Figures = vi Abstract = vii 제1장 서론 = 1 1.1 연구배경 = 1 1.2 연구목적 = 7 1.3 논문구성 = 8 제2장 선박운항 위험성 = 9 2.1 선박운항시스템 = 9 2.2 운항위험성 = 13 2.2.1 위험성 평가 = 13 2.2.2 위험성 관리 = 15 2.2.3 의사소통과 위험성 수준 = 16 2.2.4 위험성기반 의사결정 = 19 제3장 국내 선박충돌사고 위험성 분석 = 21 3.1 해양사고 현황 = 22 3.2 해양사고 현황분석 = 26 3.2.1 발생빈도 분석 = 26 3.2.2 피해상황 분석 = 28 3.3 선박충돌사고 위험성 분석 = 36 3.3.1 선박충돌사고 빈도 분석 = 36 3.3.2 위해요소 파악 = 37 3.3.3 위험성 분석 = 43 3.3.4 분석결과 = 47 제4장 FSM기법 = 49 4.1 이론적 배경 = 49 4.2 FSM을 위한 수학적 준비 = 52 4.3 FSM기법 알고리듬 = 55 제5장 선박충돌사고 원인 구조분석 = 60 5.1 FSM기법에 의한 인적요소 구조분석 = 60 5.1.1 인적요소 자료분석 = 60 5.1.2 인적요소 구조 모델링 = 64 5.1.3 구조 그래프화 = 65 5.2 분석결과 검토 및 고찰 = 86 5.2.1 분석결과 타당성 검토 = 86 5.2.2 분석결과 고찰 = 86 제6장 결론 = 93 참고문헌 = 98 부록 1 = 102 부록 2 = 108 -
dc.publisher 韓國海洋大學校 -
dc.title 퍼지구조모델을 이용한 船舶衝突事故 原因의 構造分析 -
dc.title.alternative Structure Analysis of Ship's Collision Causes Using Fuzzy Structural Modeling -
dc.type Thesis -
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해사수송과학과 > Thesis
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