한국해운의 적정선대 규모에 관한 연구

Abstract

Korean Shipping Industry is a key factor for the economic development of Korea as Korean focus on the external economic development policy. About 99.7% of trading in Korea must be transported by ships. Thus shipping transportation is a core of the industrial and economic development in Korea. There are many factors to affect the continuous growth of shipping industry. In this dissertation the purpose of the research is to make a development model of Korea shipping industry and to get an optimal scale of merchant fleet in Korea by investigating and analyzing.

In this study seven factors which affect on the development of shipping industry are found, and the seven factors are follows:

1st: Improvement of the system in shipping industry

2nd: Construction of advanced shipping and logistics infrastructure

3rd: Stabilization of supplying Korean nationality fleet

4th: Security of supplying the power of crew

5th: Activation of related industry of shipping

6th: Construction of global networks in shipping

7th: Enlargement international shipping cooperation

To analyze more details about the seven factors affecting shipping industry we used AHP, and I can achieve the weigh of factors. The 1st important factor is the construction of global networks in shipping, 2nd is the enlargement of international shipping cooperation, 3rd is the construction of advanced shipping and logistics infrastructure, 4th is the stabilization of supplying Korean nationality fleet ,and so on. With this result we tried to make a Korean development model of shipping industry.

Even though the 1st is most suitable factor to make Korean development model, the 1st-3rd have been operating by companies and already accepted as the shipping development model by the advanced shipping countries. So we have chosen the 4th factor as Korean development model of shipping industry after analyzing the factor through AHP.

The increase of shipping capacity in Korea is the model and we have used DEA to find the optimal shipping amount out at last chart. We have selected input and output variables and compared the economic status and shipping capacity among 22 countries. The selected input variables are import-export amount and GDP, and outputs are the real owned shipping capacity of each country.

The desirable fleet of Korean shipping is more than twice of current amount after analyzing DEA.

Finally this dissertation could suggest that Korean shipping industry would be developed by increasing the capacity of fleet and the optimal amount of shipping is more than twice of current amount through analyzing DEA & AHP.