한국해양대학교

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부정기선 운임결정요인에 관한 연구 -케이프사이즈 건화물선을 중심으로

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dc.contributor.author 권민정 -
dc.date.accessioned 2017-02-22T06:15:34Z -
dc.date.available 2017-02-22T06:15:34Z -
dc.date.issued 2009 -
dc.date.submitted 56933-01-14 -
dc.identifier.uri http://kmou.dcollection.net/jsp/common/DcLoOrgPer.jsp?sItemId=000002175076 ko_KR
dc.identifier.uri http://repository.kmou.ac.kr/handle/2014.oak/9232 -
dc.description.abstract This paper is focused on the determinant factors of the freight rate in tramp shipping market. Tramp shipping market is generally limited to dry bulk shipping market. In the dry bulk shipping market, it is difficult to make to estimate an accurate freight rate because of too many variables and international factors all over the world. Especially, the dry bulk shipping freight rate is determinated by global demand and supply by free competitive market which causes more various and unpredictable conditions. Even though there is the existing theory about shipping cycle in the dry bulk shipping market, it is not always applied to real freight rate. Moreover, freight rate volatility in dry bulk shipping market has shown different aspect as different shipping market structure. It is followed by dry bulk vessel, cargo route and so on. Therefore, it is necessary to make sure the freight rate volatility more carefully by vessel size to prevent dry bulk shipping market risk. Due to development of Chinese steel industry in 2000's, seaborne trade volume of iron ore and coal has been rapidly increased. This caused high demand of large vessel such as cape size dry bulk ship. In this point, this paper researches actual Baltic Capesize Index(BCI) and analyzes various factors which can influence on BCI. According to the paper, researched several factors influencing on the dry bulk freight rate in demand, supply and other external factors through literature review and 7 hypotheses were made. By analysing correlation and regression analysis between independent variables and dependent variable, it can be figured out how BCI and independent variables have been influencing each other. As a result of correlation and regression analysis between Baltic Capesize Index(BCI) and demand, supply and other external factors of capesize dry bulk ship, 3 followings are turned out. Firstly, demand factors which include seaborne trade volume of iron ore and coal are highly related with BCI. Secondly, supply factors such as delivery of newbuilding ships and demolition are lowly related with BCI. Lastly, other external factors such as secondhand ship price, international bunker price and charter price are highly related with BCI. -
dc.description.tableofcontents 제1장 서 론 1 제1절 연구의 배경 및 목적 제2절 연구의 방법 및 범위 제2장 부정기선 해운시장의 개요 제1절 부정기선의 정의 1. 부정기선의 개념 2. 부정기선의 특징 제2절 부정기선 시장의 구성 1. 운임 시장 2. 신조선 시장 3. 중고선 시장 4. 해체선 시장 제3절 부정기선 시장의 공급과 수요 현황 1. 부정기선 시장의 공급 현황 2. 부정기선 시장의 수요 현황 제3장 부정기선 운임결정 요인의 이론적 고찰 제1절 부정기선의 운임 1. 부정기선 수요의 측면 2. 부정기선 공급의 측면 제2절 부정기선 운임결정요인에 관한 선행연구 제4장 케이프사이즈 건화물선 운임결정 요인 실증분석 제1절 케이프사이즈 건화물선의 시장구조 1. 케이프사이즈 건화물선의 수요구조 2. 케이프사이즈 건화물선의 공급구조 제2절 연구가설의 설정과 실증분석 1. 연구가설의 설정 2. 분석방법 제3절 실증분석의 결과 및 평가 1. 상관분석 2. 단순회귀분석 제5장 결 론 제1절 연구의 요약 제2절 연구의 의의 및 한계 <참고문헌> 1. 국내문헌 2. 외국문헌 -
dc.language kor -
dc.publisher 한국해양대학교 -
dc.title 부정기선 운임결정요인에 관한 연구 -케이프사이즈 건화물선을 중심으로 -
dc.title.alternative A Study on the Determinant Factor of the Freight Rate in the Dry Bulk Shipping Market -Focus on the Cape-Size Dry Bulk Shipping Market -
dc.type Thesis -
dc.date.awarded 2009-02 -
dc.contributor.alternativeName Kwon Minjung -
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해운경영학과 > Thesis
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